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The Timeline of Presidential Elections

£4.99

Product description

In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It's a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters' trial heats, preferences have come into focus-and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters' intentions change only gradually, with particular events-including presidential debates-rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of-or not made aware of-fundamental factors like candidates' policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.

Note that this is an ex-library book (New York Public Library). It is in good condition but shows obvious signs of use and shelf wear. It has large library labels on the spine and rear cover. However all pages are securely bound and clean.

Item details

Author(s):
Robert S. Erikson & Christopher Wlezien
Condition:
Used: good
Dimensions:
229x152x13
EAN-13:
9780226922157
Format:
Paperback
ISBN-13:
9780226922157
Number of items:
1
Number of pages:
216
Publisher:
UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO PRESS

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About this item

In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It's a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters' trial heats, preferences have come into focus-and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters' intentions change only gradually, with particular events-including presidential debates-rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of-or not made aware of-fundamental factors like candidates' policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.

Note that this is an ex-library book (New York Public Library). It is in good condition but shows obvious signs of use and shelf wear. It has large library labels on the spine and rear cover. However all pages are securely bound and clean.

Author(s):
Robert S. Erikson & Christopher Wlezien
Condition:
Used: good
Dimensions:
229x152x13
EAN-13:
9780226922157
Format:
Paperback
ISBN-13:
9780226922157
Number of items:
1
Number of pages:
216
Publisher:
UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO PRESS

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This item will be dispatched to UK addresses via second class post within 14 working days of receipt of your order. Standard UK delivery is £3.95 per order, so you're only charged once no matter how many items you have in your basket. Any additional courier charges will be applied at checkout as they vary depending on delivery address.

This item will be dispatched to UK addresses via second class post within 14 working days of receipt of your order. Standard UK delivery is currently free, no matter how many items you have in your basket. Any additional courier charges will be applied at checkout as they vary depending on delivery address.

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